MOOD publications

MOOD project is at the forefront of European research of infectious disease surveillance and modelling from a data science perspective, investigating the impact of global warming on disease outbreaks, and proposing innovations for building of One Health systems across Europe and the world. 

In the table below are listed all MOOD publications. Use the filter to select the most relevant articles.

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Pullano, Giulia; Domenico, Laura Di; Colizza, Vittoria

Telework and other measures reducing the presence at work to slow down COVID-19pdm in France (Sept 2020) Technical Report


Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, epidemiology, France, measures


Pullano, Giulia; Domenico, Laura Di; Sabbatini, Chiara E.; Colizza, Vittoria

Expected impact of exit strategies after the second lockdown - France, Nov 2020 Technical Report


Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, France, lock-down, measures


Manica, Mattia; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Riccardo, Flavia; Valenti, Antonio; Poletti, Piero; Marziano, Valentina; Trentini, Filippo; Andrianou, Xanthi; Urdiales, Alberto Mateo; Manso, Martina; Fabiani, Massimo; Vescio, Maria Fenicia; Spuri, Matteo; Petrone, Daniele; Bella, Antonino; Iavicoli, Sergio; Ajelli, Marco; Brusaferro, Silvio; Pezzotti, Patrizio; Merler, Stefano

Impact of tiered restrictions on human activities and the epidemiology of the second wave of COVID-19 in Italy Journal Article

In: Nature Communications, vol. 12, no. 4570, 2021.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, Italy, measures, Public Health, surveillance


Lemey, Philippe; Ruktanonchai, Nick; Hong, Samuel L; Colizza, Vittoria; Poletto, Chiara; den Broeck, Frederik Van; Gill, Mandev S; Ji, Xiang; Levasseur, Anthony; Munnink, Bas B Oude; others,

Untangling introductions and persistence in COVID-19 resurgence in Europe Journal Article

In: Nature, vol. 595, no. 7869, pp. 713–717, 2021.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: big data, COVID-19, epidemiology, Europe, measures, mobility


Guzzetta, Giorgio; Riccardo, Flavia; Marziano, Valentina; Poletti, Piero; Trentini, Filippo; Bella, Antonino; Andrianou, Xanthi; Manso, Martina Del; Fabiani, Massimo; Bellino, Stefania; Boros, Stefano; Urdiales, Alberto Mateo; Vescio, Maria Fenicia; Piccioli, Andrea; Brusaferro, Silvio; Rezza, Giovanni; Pezzotti, Patrizio; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano; Group, COVID-19 Working

Impact of a Nationwide Lockdown on SARS-CoV-2 Transmissibility, Italy Bachelor Thesis


Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, Italy, lock-down, measures


Ruktanonchai, Nick Warren; Floyd, JR; Lai, Shengjie; Ruktanonchai, Corrine Warren; Sadilek, Adam; Rente-Lourenco, Pedro; Ben, Xue; Carioli, Alessandra; Gwinn, Joshua; Steele, JE; others,

Assessing the impact of coordinated COVID-19 exit strategies across Europe Journal Article

In: Science, vol. 369, no. 6510, pp. 1465–1470, 2020.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, Europe, lock-down, measures, transmission


Pullano, Giulia; Valdano, Eugenio; Scarpa, Nicola; Rubrichi, Stefania; Colizza, Vittoria

Evaluating the effect of demographic factors, socioeconomic factors, and risk aversion on mobility during the COVID-19 epidemic in France under lockdown: a population-based study Journal Article

In: The Lancet Digital Health, vol. 2, no. 12, pp. e638–e649, 2020.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: big data, contac tracing, COVID-19, epidemiology, France, measures, mobility, transmission


Candido, Darlan S; Claro, Ingra M; Jesus, Jaqueline G De; Souza, William M; Moreira, Filipe RR; Dellicour, Simon; Mellan, Thomas A; Plessis, Louis Du; Pereira, Rafael HM; Sales, Flavia CS; others,

Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil Journal Article

In: Science, vol. 369, no. 6508, pp. 1255–1260, 2020.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: big data, Brazil, Contact tracing, COVID-19, epidemiology, measures, mobility, transmission


Chinazzi, Matteo; Davis, Jessica T; Ajelli, Marco; Gioannini, Corrado; Litvinova, Maria; Merler, Stefano; Piontti, Ana Pastore; Mu, Kunpeng; Rossi, Luca; Sun, Kaiyuan; others,

The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak Journal Article

In: Science, vol. 368, no. 6489, pp. 395–400, 2020.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, measures, mobility, Model, population dynamics

Top-cited MOOD publications

Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK
Plessis et al., 2020
Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil
Darlan et al., 2020
Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study
Gilbert et al., 2020
Spatiotemporal invasion dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 emergence
Moritz et al., 2020
Crowding and the shape of COVID-19 epidemics
Rader et al., 2020
Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020
Guzzetta et al., 2020
Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020
Pullano et al., 2020