MOOD publications

MOOD project is at the forefront of European research of infectious disease surveillance and modelling from a data science perspective, investigating the impact of global warming on disease outbreaks, and proposing innovations for building of One Health systems across Europe and the world. 

In the table below are listed all MOOD publications. Use the filter to select the most relevant articles.

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19.

Pullano, Giulia; Domenico, Laura Di; Colizza, Vittoria

Telework and other measures reducing the presence at work to slow down COVID-19pdm in France (Sept 2020) Technical Report

2021.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, epidemiology, France, measures

18.

Kraemer, Moritz U. G.; Fraser, Oliver G. Pybusand; Cauchemez, Christophe; Rambaut, Simon; Cowling, Andrew; Benjamin, J.

Monitoring key epidemiological parameters of SARS-CoV-2 transmission Journal Article

In: Nature Medicine, vol. 27, no. 1854–1855 , pp. 1–2, 2021.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, epidemiology, transmission

17.

Faria, Nuno R.; Mellan, Thomas A.; Whittaker, Charles; Claro, Ingra M.; da S. Candido, Darlan; Mishra, Swapnil; Crispim, Myuki A. E.

Genomics and epidemiology of the P.1 SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil Journal Article

In: Science, vol. 372, no. 6544, pp. 815-821, 2021.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Brazil, COVID-19, epidemiology, phylogenetic

16.

Domenico, Laura Di; Sabbatini, Chiara E.; Pullano, Giulia; Lévy-Bruhl, Daniel; Colizza, Vittoria

Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 epidemic in Ile-de-France and possible exit strategies Journal Article

In: medRxiv, no. 2, 2021.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, epidemiology, Europe, Public Health

15.

Huang, Bo; Wang, Jionghua; Cai, Jixuan; Yao, Shiqi; Chan, Paul Kay Sheung; Tam, Tony Hong-wing; Hong, Ying-Yi; Ruktanonchai, Corrine W.; Carioli, Alessandra; Floyd, Jessica R.; Ruktanonchai, Nick W.; Yang, Weizhong; Li, Zhongjie; Tatem, Andrew J.; Lai, Shengjie

Integrated vaccination and physical distancing interventions to prevent future COVID-19 waves in Chinese cities Journal Article

In: Nature Human Behaviour, vol. 5, pp. 695–705, 2021.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: China, COVID-19, epidemiology, vaccine

14.

Plessis, Louis; McCrone, John T.; Zarebski, Alexander E.; Hill, Verity; Ruis, Christopher; Gutierrez, Bernardo; Raghwani, Jayna; Ashworth, Jordan; Colquhoun, Rachel; Connor, Thomas R.; Faria, Nuno R.; Jackson, Ben; Loman, Nicholas J.; O’Toole, Áine; Nicholls, Samuel M.; Parag, Kris V.; Scher, Emily; Vasylyeva, Tetyana I.; Volz, Erik M.; Watts, Alexander; Bogoch, Isaac I.; Khan, Kamran; null,; Aanensen, David M.; Kraemer, Moritz U. G.; Rambaut, Andrew; Pybus, Oliver G.

Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK Journal Article

In: Science, vol. 371, no. 6530, pp. 708-712, 2021.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, epidemiology, genome, phylogenetic, travel, United Kingdom

13.

Ingelbeen, Brecht; Peckeu, Laur`ene; Laga, Marie; Hendrix, Ilona; Neven, Inge; Sande, Marianne AB; Kleef, Esther

Reducing contacts to stop SARS-CoV-2 transmission during the second pandemic wave in Brussels, Belgium, August to November 2020 Journal Article

In: Eurosurveillance, vol. 26, no. 7, pp. 2100065, 2021.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Belgium, COVID-19, epidemiology, Model, school, transmission

12.

Oidtman, Rachel J; Omodei, Elisa; Kraemer, Moritz UG; Casteneda-Orjuela, Carlos A; Cruz-Rivera, Erica; Misnaza-Castrillon, Sandra; Cifuentes, Myriam Patricia; Rincon, Luz Emilse; Canon, Viviana; Alarcon, Pedro; others,

Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease Journal Article

In: medRxiv, 2021.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: epidemiology, infectious diseases, Model, Zika

11.

Pullano, Giulia; Domenico, Laura Di; Sabbatini, Chiara E; Valdano, Eugenio; Turbelin, Clément; Debin, Marion; Guerrisi, Caroline; Kengne-Kuetche, Charly; Souty, Cécile; Hanslik, Thomas; others,

Underdetection of cases of COVID-19 in France threatens epidemic control Journal Article

In: Nature, vol. 590, no. 7844, pp. 134–139, 2021.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, epidemiology, France, surveillance

10.

Lemey, Philippe; Ruktanonchai, Nick; Hong, Samuel L; Colizza, Vittoria; Poletto, Chiara; den Broeck, Frederik Van; Gill, Mandev S; Ji, Xiang; Levasseur, Anthony; Munnink, Bas B Oude; others,

Untangling introductions and persistence in COVID-19 resurgence in Europe Journal Article

In: Nature, vol. 595, no. 7869, pp. 713–717, 2021.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: big data, COVID-19, epidemiology, Europe, measures, mobility

9.

Trentini, Filippo; Marziano, Valentina; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Tirani, Marcello; Cereda, Danilo; Poletti, Piero; Piccarreta, Raffaella; Barone, Antonio; Preziosi, Giuseppe; Arduini, Fabio; Valle, Petra Giulia Della; Zanella, Alberto; Grosso, Francesca; Castillo, Gabriele; Castrofino, Ambra; Grasselli, Giacomo; Melegaro, Alessia; Piatti, Alessandra; Andreassi, Aida; Gramegna, Maria; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano

The pressure on healthcare system and intensive care utilization during the COVID-19 outbreak in the Lombardy region: a retrospective observational study on 43,538 hospitalized patients Journal Article

In: American Journal of Epidemiology, 2021, ISSN: 0002-9262, (kwab252).

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: big data, COVID-19, epidemiology, ICU, Italy, Public Health

8.

Rader, Benjamin; Scarpino, Samuel V; Nande, Anjalika; Hill, Alison L; Adlam, Ben; Reiner, Robert C; Pigott, David M; Gutierrez, Bernardo; Zarebski, Alexander E; Shrestha, Munik; others,

Crowding and the shape of COVID-19 epidemics Journal Article

In: Nature medicine, vol. 26, no. 12, pp. 1829–1834, 2020.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, epidemiology, population dynamics

7.

Lai, Shengjie; Ruktanonchai, Nick W; Zhou, Liangcai; Prosper, Olivia; Luo, Wei; Floyd, Jessica R; Wesolowski, Amy; Santillana, Mauricio; Zhang, Chi; Du, Xiangjun; others,

Effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions to contain COVID-19 in China Journal Article

In: nature, vol. 585, no. 7825, pp. 410–413, 2020.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, epidemiology, health policy, Model

6.

Pullano, Giulia; Valdano, Eugenio; Scarpa, Nicola; Rubrichi, Stefania; Colizza, Vittoria

Evaluating the effect of demographic factors, socioeconomic factors, and risk aversion on mobility during the COVID-19 epidemic in France under lockdown: a population-based study Journal Article

In: The Lancet Digital Health, vol. 2, no. 12, pp. e638–e649, 2020.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: big data, contac tracing, COVID-19, epidemiology, France, measures, mobility, transmission

5.

Candido, Darlan S; Claro, Ingra M; Jesus, Jaqueline G De; Souza, William M; Moreira, Filipe RR; Dellicour, Simon; Mellan, Thomas A; Plessis, Louis Du; Pereira, Rafael HM; Sales, Flavia CS; others,

Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil Journal Article

In: Science, vol. 369, no. 6508, pp. 1255–1260, 2020.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: big data, Brazil, Contact tracing, COVID-19, epidemiology, measures, mobility, transmission

4.

Zhang, Juanjuan; Litvinova, Maria; Wang, Wei; Wang, Yan; Deng, Xiaowei; Chen, Xinghui; Li, Mei; Zheng, Wen; Yi, Lan; Chen, Xinhua; others,

Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study Journal Article

In: The Lancet Infectious Diseases, vol. 20, no. 7, pp. 793–802, 2020.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: China, COVID-19, epidemiology, transmission

3.

Zhao, Cheng; Tepekule, Burcu; Criscuolo, Nicola G.; Garcia, Pedro David Wendel; Hilty, Matthias Peter; Switzerland, Risc-Icu Consortium Investigators In; Fumeaux, Thierry; Boeckel, Thomas P. Van

icumonitoring.ch: a platform for short-term forecasting of intensive care unit occupancy during the COVID-19 epidemic in Switzerland. Journal Article

In: Swiss medical weekly, vol. 150, pp. w20277, 2020.

Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, epidemiology, ICU, Model, platform, Switzerland

2.

Guzzetta, Giorgio; Riccardo, Flavia; Marziano, Valentina; Poletti, Piero; Trentini, Filippo; Bella, Antonino; Andrianou, Xanthi; Manso, Martina Del; Fabiani, Massimo; Bellino, Stefania; others,

The impact of a nation-wide lockdown on COVID-19 transmissibility in Italy Journal Article

In: arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.12338, 2020.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, epidemiology, Italy, lock-down, reproduction number, transmission, zoonoses

1.

Pinotti, Francesco; Domenico, Laura Di; Ortega, Ernesto; Mancastroppa, Marco; Pullano, Giulia; Valdano, Eugenio; Boëlle, Pierre-Yves; Poletto, Chiara; Colizza, Vittoria

Tracing and analysis of 288 early SARS-CoV-2 infections outside China: A modeling study Journal Article

In: PLOS Medicine, vol. 17, no. 7, pp. 1-13, 2020.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19, epidemiology, reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction, RT-PCR, STROBE

Top-cited MOOD publications

Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK
Plessis et al., 2020
Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil
Darlan et al., 2020
Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study
Gilbert et al., 2020
Spatiotemporal invasion dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 emergence
Moritz et al., 2020
Crowding and the shape of COVID-19 epidemics
Rader et al., 2020
Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020
Guzzetta et al., 2020
Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020
Pullano et al., 2020